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2024-12-14 08:39:28

Today, the trend of A-shares stands out as a stable word, and individual stocks generally rise, which may be the best situation. However, the A-share market can't always go up without going down. Today, the Hang Seng Index dives frequently, while the Hong Kong stocks at the end of the market continue to dive, while A-shares and A50 futures index rise in the opposite direction, with serious differentiation, indicating that the pressure on all parties is still relatively large.The simplest and most direct reason for doing this is to spread out the high-priced chips at a high level. In fact, the main force has been doing this all the time. Since 924, the main capital of A shares has flowed out of the market by more than 2 trillion yuan. Who has taken these chips? According to relevant data, over 10 million new retail investors have entered the market during this period. Judging from the current trading volume, although the number of retail investors has decreased, there are still retail investors' funds coming into the market. How many retail investors have taken over yesterday's trading volume?Figure ii


This chart contains the situation of A-share trading volume since the 924 market. On October 8, the volume was the largest, which was the largest in history. On November 8, it was greatly reduced, and it was reduced again on December 10. Today, the volume is still shrinking, which still belongs to the trend of ship pulled. Everyone should pay attention to this time interval. Since October 8, there will be a rebound every other day, November 8, December 10 and December.Personally, I judge that after adjustment, the main funds will still be a bull trap at the end of the year, and this rebound high point will probably appear on December 30 and 31. This is because the main funds will use holidays, cooperate through the disk, and some of them will be higher, mainly foreign capital, increase publicity and give off-site funds a tour, which is in line with my judgment. In the past two years, the main A-share companies have always borrowed weekends, holidays and other closed days. Look at the picture below:My prediction yesterday was wrong: there will be a compensatory decline trend in the A-share market tomorrow, and we can observe the support level around 3380 points. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend, and if it is not, it will be a rapid decline trend.


Figure iiIt can be predicted that the A-share market outlook will be a downward trend. Judging from the current heat of speculation on these theme stocks, another one will be made, but the rising time and space will be far less than the first three. Look at the picture below:A-shares: After the emotional recovery, the drama is about to start. What will be sung in the market on Thursday?

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